It’s coming home? England is awash with World Cup fever, and coupled with a fortnight-long heatwave the country feels like it’s on the cusp of a perfect summer. But celebrations will be dampened somewhat if the Three Lions can’t get past Sweden in the quarter-finals; a limited but capable outfit. Here’s our England vs Sweden betting tips.
England’s penalty shootout win over Colombia in the Round of 16 felt like a momentous moment for a number of reasons.
Not only was it the first time that Gareth Southgate’s men had met a ‘proper side’ in a meaningful game, it also laid to rest the cyclical nightmare of English defeats on penalties in major tournaments; as Southgate himself experienced.
The victory also showed England’s comfortability with being the favourite, both implied and with the bookmakers, to take the spoils.
Indeed, but for a lapse of concentration from a corner which allowed Yerry Mina to nod home a late equaliser, Harry Kane and co would have taken care of business in normal time.
As for Sweden, they needed a huge deflection to see off Switzerland. Emil Forsberg’s tame shot was prodded home by a Swiss defender, and otherwise that encounter may have gone on to extra time and penalties.
The stakes are high on Saturday, and both teams are entering unchartered territory; neither the English nor the Swedes have featured in a World Cup semi-final since the early 1990s.
Who will make their own slice of history? Let’s find out in our England vs Sweden betting tips.
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England vs Sweden Betting Tips
Normally, a win that takes more than 120 minutes to achieve would take it out of the players, but up until now England have had things pretty easy.
They never got out of second gear against Tunisia or Panama, and most of the preferred starting eleven had the night off against Belgium.
So there are no concerns of fatigue, and other than Jamie Vardy’s groin there doesn’t appear to be any injury problems; lucky indeed given the overtly physical nature of Colombia’s play.
Sweden will be without the suspended Mikael Lustig, but otherwise they have a full quota to choose from: head coach Janne Andersson will have to decide whether to restore Seb Larsson to the midfield or retain Gustav Svensson, however.
The Swedes have not changed their approach all tournament. They defend deep, and in numbers, and look to spring counter attacks from wide areas, with Forsberg and Viktor Claesson ever-willing runners.
Marcus Berg cuts an isolated figure at times, and with England’s back three in tow he will be well marked once more.
The pattern of play here will be the English dominating possession, and the key for them will be forward motion, rather than sideways passes, that bogged them down against the Colombians and ultimately knocked Spain out of the competition against Russia.
Sweden’s best chances will come on the counter attack or set pieces, but England’s pace at the back – and their excellence in the air – should snuff out the bulk of the Scandinavians’ attacks.
The onus, quite simply, will be on England to find that winning goal.
Can they do it? Absolutely: the movement of Sterling, Lingard and Alli, the delivery of Trippier, the nerveless finishing of Kane and their prowess at set pieces suggests England have all the tools to get the job done.
As such, we’re happy to back them at 10/11 with William Hill to win this game in normal time.
England vs Sweden Betting Tips: Side Markets
We’re expecting a cagey game on Saturday in Moscow, and while this World Cup has had a habit of causing shocks and surprises we’ll go with our gut here.
Both Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score (No) are available at around the 1/2 (1.50) mark, but there may just be legs in going even cagier.
So, we’re going to take a risk on the Under 1.5 Goal market at 29/20 with NetBet. Apologies for the millions hoping to watch a classic!